The Race for Evs
|Mark J. Perry||May 28th 2012|
It's tempting to call the shameful taxpayer subsidy for electric cars - vehicles that are unaffordable for all but a small number of wealthy Americans - this nation's costly little secret. But it's no secret, and that's the real shame. It's obvious now that electric vehicles can't compete with gasoline-powered cars, even with generous government subsidies.
And for years automotive engineers have documented that the performance of electric vehicles - particularly their short range and battery uncertainty under real traffic conditions - falls short in virtually every aspect. What's truly shameful is that such disparities have done nothing to change policy. Subsidizing electric vehicles has been a devil's bargain, making the development of other alternative technologies like conventional hybrids and advanced gasoline engines more difficult. Since 2008, taxpayers have spent or provided loan guarantees of $6.5 billion for electric vehicles. That includes $2.4 billion for battery and electric drive component manufacturing, $3.1 billion in loan guarantees for electric vehicle projects, and $1 billion in tax credits for the vehicles.
The price that American taxpayers pay for commercializing electric vehicles is painfully evident in the billions spent on green projects that are driven by politics rather than performance. Instead of letting plug-in vehicles like the Nissan Leaf, GM Volt and Ford Focus Electric compete on their own against fuel-efficient gasoline-powered cars, the government has used subsidies to create an artificial market that otherwise would not exist. Using taxpayer dollars to favor one automotive technology over another is contrary to the free-market principles that undergird our economy. Simply put, subsidizing electric vehicles doesn't make economic sense.
That's evident in the lackluster sales of the vehicles. Even with a $7,500 tax credit, GM sold a meager 7,671 electric-hybrid Volts in 2011, far fewer than its goal of 10,000. Nissan sold 9,674 all-electric Leafs. We won't even come close to President Obama's prediction a few years ago that 1 million electric cars would be on the road by 2015. The production costs of electric cars have not dropped to make them competitive with gasoline-powered vehicles. The average American can't afford an electric car, no matter how strongly one might feel about curbing our dependence on foreign oil and driving an emission-free vehicle. Barring a huge run-up in gasoline prices, it would take more than a decade of driving to offset the Chevrolet Volt's $41,000 price tag or even the Nissan Leaf's still hefty window sticker of $33,000.
And the bills can pile up. Unless you're willing to wait eight hours to recharge your car, you'll want a high-speed recharger installed in your home, adding thousands of dollars to the cost. Maintaining an electric car is likely to be more expensive than a conventional car, because there are not many repair shops capable of doing the work.
And a battery that costs about $20,000 may last only eight years, leaving customers with a vehicle that has little resale value. How does the government justify spending taxpayer money to subsidize wealthy Americans buying expensive cars? Most of the all-electric sales have been concentrated in California, where the vehicles are popularized by high-profile celebrities and driven by people who have stratospheric incomes.
Supposedly the price of electric cars will come down as volumes increase, making the vehicles more affordable. But even if the federal tax credit increases from $7,500 to $10,000, as Obama has proposed, and other states mimic California by adding an additional $1,500 tax credit, Americans may not buy electric vehicles because of their shortcomings in size, comfort and range.
The surest way to guarantee a product's failure is to subsidize it. Over time, cars that succeeded in the marketplace have been those that were developed and commercialized without government involvement. If a technology isn't capable of succeeding on its own economic merits, there's no amount of taxpayer support that will ever make it a commercial succes.