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Iran's Nukes

Appeasement Won't Reduce the Iranian Nuclear Peril

October 13th 2013

Iran holy missiles

Tomorrow morning, more than seven years after the United Nations Security Council first ordered Iran to halt all aspects of its illicit nuclear programme, British and American diplomats – along with representatives of other global powers – will sit down with Iranian nuclear negotiators in Geneva to try, once again, to resolve this crisis. This could be a seminal moment in world history – for what we choose to do about Iran will have consequences for generations.

In the run-up to the negotiations, there has been much talk of a new spirit of détente between Iran and the West. The election of President Hassan Rouhani in June has been followed by a series of diplomatic overtures, including a meeting between the British Foreign Secretary, William Hague, and his Iranian counterpart. There have even been discussions about Britain and Iran reopening embassies in each other’s capitals. Read more ..

The Edge of Security

ATF: Lost Guns, Lost Cigarettes, Lost Credibility

October 13th 2013

Guns for sale

The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) had a great idea: facilitate the sale of weapons to gun runners near the Mexican border, then follow the guns to the higher echelon of criminals in Mexico. American and Mexican authorities would arrest the kingpins. Foolproof?

No. Project Gunrunner began in 2005 as an effort to use electronic tracking to trace guns sold illegally in Mexico and the Caribbean. It led to Fast and Furious (2009-11), Wide Receiver (2006-2007), the Hernandez case (2007), and the Medrano case (2008). In these latter operations, rather than create an intelligence trail with the eTrace software, the U.S. simply let straw buyers purchase guns to transport to Mexico. Mexican authorities were not notified. In the case of Fast and Furious, the ATF attaché at the U.S. Embassy in Mexico City was not notified. Read more ..

Media on Edge

The Paper Which Hates Britain? Guardian Leaks ‘Worst Blow to British Intel Ever’

October 12th 2013

Big Ben

The title doesn’t represent the hyperbole of a partisan commentator, but the sober warnings of Sir David Omand, the former head of GCHQ (the UK’s counterpart to the NSA) and homeland security adviser to 10 Downing St.

The theft and leak of tens of thousands of top-secret NSA files by Edward Snowden, procured by Glenn Greenwald and published by the Guardian, Oman said, “eclipses the Cambridge spy ring as the most catastrophic loss suffered by British intelligence” in history. He added that ‘The Guardian and others in possession of Mr Snowden’s leaked files had gone on to publish information that was invaluable to foreign spies, terrorists and criminal networks’.

But, that’s not all.

Egypt's Second Revolution

Shall We Kiss Egypt Goodbye

October 11th 2013

Egyptian Court Protests Dec 2012

"You left the Egyptians, you turned your back on the Egyptians, and they won't forget that." Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Sisi.  Quoted by Kelly McParland, National Post (Canada), 8 August 2013.

In mid-August 2013 Egyptian newspapers reported that following a "hurried session" the Kremlin had offered its own military facilities to the Egyptian military.  The offer came in response to the Obama administration's cancelling of the annual joint military exercises held in Egypt's Western Desert that involved military units of the United States and Egypt.

There was mention that Egypt would soon benefit from Russian arms sales paid for by Saudi Arabia -- a move that resulted from the waning of United States support for an Egyptian government in the wake of the 3 July ouster of President Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood (Ikhwan al-Muslimun).  Read more ..

Broken Government

No Compromises on a Ship of Fools

October 10th 2013

Armstrong Williams Headshot

Usually when two sides cannot come to an agreement, they can let an arbiter weigh their arguments and settle the dispute. Some arbiters try to find the optimum compromise, while others simple rule in favor of one side over the other. Unfortunately for America, we have no arbitrator. Instead we have two groups of buffoons flinging muck at each other.
On one side we have a group of Republicans in the House refusing to do anything unless Obamacare’s individual mandate in delayed or, better yet, defunded. On the other side you have the Democrat Senate refusing to vote on any bills. Traditionally, the President tries to act as the arbiter in such disputes, but Obama refuses to entertain negotiations. He insists that the House GOP drop all their demands and give him free reign. Does neither side understand what a compromise is? In a negotiation, unless you are dealing with a fool, you never get everything you want. You must make concessions in order to move forward.
I am a businessman and can tell you that time and again I have to compromise to make a deal. By finding areas of agreement and contention, we can iron out those issues and find some kind of middle-ground. I may not get everything I want, but I get enough to make the deal worthwhile for both my associates and me. The biggest difference between my business deals and the current shutdown squabble is that I can walk away if I think the deal is skewed too against me. President Obama, Boehner, and Reid cannot walk away. The GOP’s idea of a compromise is to offer a delay rather than liquidate the Affordable Healthcare Act (ACA). This notion was the strategy behind passing both bills and sending them to the Senate, figuring that the Senate would obviously reject defunding and negotiate on the delay. Read more ..

Obama's Second Term

New Extremist Foxes Welcomed into U.S. Chicken Coop

October 10th 2013

Iraq: blood spattered church

Imagine that in recent weeks alone, dozens of Muslims around the world had been murdered by Christian extremists armed with suicide belts and similar paraphernalia. Imagine that at the same time, around other parts of the world, Christian mobs had set fire to, and burned to the ground, the holy places of some of the oldest and most established Muslim communities in the world.

Do you think there would be a reaction to such events? Probably yes. Would that reaction be wholly negative and unceasing in its condemnation? Probably yes. Would it be remotely conceivable that a senior U.S. government official or advisor would have used the opportunity to claim that Muslims who had been targeted had brought it upon themselves? Probably no. Welcome then to the mirror-image of the real-world persecution of Christians that is going on across the globe today. And say hello again to two of the most appallingly over-promoted and sinister figures involved with the current U.S. government: Mohamed Elibiary and Dalia Mogahed. Read more ..

Broken Government

The Government Shutdown: Politics as War by Other Means

October 9th 2013

Bomb blast

With the shutdown of the federal government, we are a nation at war. While the vast majority of citizens would be content with almost any peaceable resolution, their elected leaders at the barricades keep the country in wartime footing. War emerges when political or diplomatic means fail; and war brings destruction. Witness the hardships that have already emerged from even a few days of shutdown, and there is no end in sight.

The political war of the present is a reminder of a larger, bloodier war of a century ago. The First World War was also a standoff in which almost every individual actor felt the absurdity of continuing the slaughter, even as the dynamics of the whole kept pulling them into the morass. The opposing powers in the war that began in 1914 each had advantages that locked them into continuing combat. In particular, the British and French on the Western Front had a long-term advantage with their colonial wealth and manpower, especially with the British navy. The pressures of war spoke to them: why give up now? Meanwhile, Germany had made striking initial gains in the first months of fighting before the descent into prolonged trench warfare; they now controlled Belgium and one-fifth of France. The pressures of war spoke to them: why give up those gains? Read more ..

Broken Government

Yes, Fighting Over the Debt Ceiling Hurts the Economy

October 8th 2013


Senators Coburn and Paul took to the airwaves to argue that going past the so-called X date – the date beyond which the Treasury cannot honor all U.S. financial obligations, believed to be sometime in the second half of October – does not automatically mean that the U.S. will default on our debt. Other prominent conservatives have advanced this argument as well.

They are correct. The U.S. could in theory honor our debt obligations while not honoring other obligations, such as Social Security payments, federal-employee salaries, and payments to government contractors. The Treasury could still conduct auctions to roll over maturing securities past the X date, and the Treasury probably could ensure that it has enough cash to pay interest payments on the debt. But this strategy is not as rosy as many conservatives believe, for a number of reasons. Read more ..

Israel and Palestine

Palestinians Prepare for War

October 7th 2013

Click to select Image

"The continuation of settlement construction is the main obstacle to the success of the peace process," the PLO leadership said in a statement that completely ignored the calls for jihad by several Palestinian terror groups.

As the U.S.-sponsored peace talks between the Israeli government and the Palestinian Authority continue, Palestinian terror groups are preparing for jihad against Israel. At the negotiations, the Palestinian Authority representatives are talking about the establishment of a Palestinian state along the pre-1967 lines, namely the West Bank, Gaza Strip and east Jerusalem. But the voices coming out of the Gaza Strip's various terror groups are talking about preparations to "liberate all Palestine, from the river to the sea." Read more ..

Broken Economy

Recession Looms in 2014

October 6th 2013

Bernanke headache

The level of uncertainty among investors about the direction of U.S. fiscal and monetary policy is startling. At a recent gathering of top investors in New York, few displayed much conviction about the future path of the Federal Reserve’s monetary stance after its Sept. 18 decision not to wind down a slew of stimulus measures in the face of a weaker-than-expected U.S. economy. On the fiscal policy front, incessant congressional wrangling over federal spending and borrowing baffled financiers from around the world.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has made no secret of his concerns about the negative effects of fiscal policy uncertainty. During his Sept. 18 press conference, he cited the economic drag tied to what has become a government shutdown-cum-possible debt crisis as a reason for the central bank’s move. More recently, in an Oct. 2 speech, he acknowledged, “Community bankers today confront a frustratingly slow recovery, stiff competition from larger banks and other financial institutions, and the responsibility of complying with new and existing regulations.” Read more ..

Obama's Second Term

Obama Rewrites Debt Limit History

October 5th 2013


As the government shutdown continues, the nation gets closer and closer to the day—probably Oct. 17—when Washington hits the debt limit, and with it the specter of default. President Obama may be getting nervous about what will happen to his negotiating position as that day approaches.

He keeps asserting that the debt limit has never been used "to extort a president or a government party." Treasury Secretary Jack Lew is selling the same story, saying "until very recently, Congress typically raised the debt ceiling on a routine basis . . . the threat of default was not a bargaining chip in the negotiations." This is simply untrue. Consider the shenanigans of congressional Democrats in 1989 over Medicare's catastrophic health coverage provision.

In this case, the problem was political infighting within the Democratic Party between the House and the Senate. "Weeks of political maneuvering brought the government to the brink of financial default," the New York Times wrote on Nov. 8 of that year. The debt limit was raised just hours before all extraordinary measures to avoid default were exhausted. The final bill dropped any action on Medicare but included a measure to repeal 1986 tax rules barring discrimination in employer-paid health insurance plans. Read more ..

The Edge of Terrorism

UK Charity Commission Permits Hamas Charity

October 4th 2013

Abbas Haniyeh

Since the time that the UK Charity Commission chairman promised to punish groups which promote extremism, Interpal has nevertheless organized a number of events that--once again--demonstrate that extremist organizations continue with impunity to abuse their charitable status.

On 12 September, William Shawcross, chairman of Britain's Charity Commission, addressed a crowd of leading experts and representatives from the British charitable and financial sectors, and announced that:

"We are stepping up our work to prevent and tackle terrorist abuse of charities. The misuse of charities for terrorist purposes represents a despicable inversion of everything charity stands for and we will fight that without quarter. And we have put out very clear guidance to charities about extremist and controversial speakers. It is unacceptable for charities to promote the views of individuals who promote violence and terrorism."

We should welcome, then, the promise by Shawcross that pro-terror organizations will no longer be free to employ the moral monopoly afforded by charitable status to shroud their extremist activities. Read more ..

The Media on Edge

Netanyahu’s Powerful UN Speech is Being Distorted by the Media

October 3rd 2013

Bibi arguing

I was in the General Assembly when Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered his speech about Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Iran’s nuclear program.  I heard a very different speech from the one described by The New York Times and other media outlets. Not surprisingly, the Iranians described it as “inflammatory.” More surprisingly, the Times described Netanyahu’s speech as aggressive, combative, sarcastic, and sabotaging diplomacy, while the only expert it quoted called the speech ineffective and pushing the limits of credibility.

What I heard in that chamber bore little relationship either to the Iranian or the Times characterizations.  What the people listening to Netanyahu heard was a compellingly persuasive speech using Rouhani’s own words to prove convincingly that his friendly smile is a cover for far more malignant intentions. Herein are a few excerpts not quoted in the Times report. Read more ..

Obama's Second Term

The Nuclear Tide Comes In

October 2nd 2013

Professor Obama at work

President Obama's speech to the U.N. General Assembly contained his annual diplomatic overtures to the government of Iran, pointing to letters he has written to Iran's supreme leader and to President Rouhani and disavowing "regime change."  Declaring "our" preference for the diplomatic path, President Obama enjoined Secretary of State Kerry to meet directly with Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif to begin the process of improving relations.  His own attempt at diplomacy, however, was rebuffed when Iranian President Rouhani declined the American president's offer of a meeting at the U.N., calling it "complicated."

At the same time, the president told the General Assembly, "We are determined to prevent [Iran] from developing a nuclear weapon."  But his "determination" carries little weight following the on-again-off-again American response to Syria's use of chemical weapons and the broad sense that Russia is the rising power in an area that had been America's domain.  With a weakened United States, the impact of its newest diplomatic overture is likely to be a scramble for nuclear weapons -- with important consequences for global stability. Read more ..

Broken Government

The Federal Government Shutdown: A Marriage Of Bad Policy And Toxic Economics

October 1st 2013

john Boehner

I do not want to be writing this column about the likely shutdown of the federal government. The shutdown will create costly inefficiencies, distract our leaders from more important tasks, and reduce our influence in a dangerous world by making us look incompetent and divided. It’s not even good politics for the Republican party that is forcing the issue and will be blamed by most Americans for the result, even if it serves the ideology and the political agenda of a minority within that party.

I want to be writing about the crucial German elections and their impact on the Euro Crisis. There are also fascinating and potentially quite important new reforms in China that establish a free trade zone in Shanghai with much less regulation. It may signal nationwide reforms transforming the size and shape of the Chinese economy and affecting all of us. I am sure my foreign policy colleagues would rather be writing about the potential for a deal with Iran and other issues of life and death. The list of real issues goes on and on.  Read more ..

Broken Politics

Ted Cruz Filled Republican Leadership Vacuum, Then Burned his Bridges

September 30th 2013

Ted Cruz

Can anyone lead this Republican Party? The official party leadership hasn’t figured out how to lead in the current political environment. And Sen. Ted Cruz learned this week that he doesn’t know how to call the shots, either. To understand the Republican leadership vacuum, consider what's different today compared to five years ago.

The 2010 Citizens United ruling has spawned super PACs that offset the power of the political parties and K Street. The Republican earmark ban has taken away a vote-whipping tool. The Internet’s advances have turned the grassroots into kudzu vines. The committee process has grown feeble. And all of these changes have injected an anti-establishment fervor into the GOP base.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and House Speaker John Boehner don’t know how to lead in this environment. Sen. Tom Coburn in mid-September told the GOP Conference that the fractious state of the party stemmed from a lack of leadership – a lack of clear goals and strategies – according to GOP Senate aides. Sen. Ron Johnson – also not a Cruz minion – has loudly and regularly complained about this leadership gap, too.

The guy who figured out how to lead in the new environment also helped create it: Jim DeMint. DeMint first beat McConnell on the campaign trail: His Senate Conservatives Fund got Marco Rubio, Cruz and Rand Paul elected in 2010 and 2012 over the GOP leadership’s picks in those states. Allied groups elected Mike Lee over incumbent McConnell ally Bob Bennett. Read more ..

Obama' Second Term

Poor America

September 30th 2013

Professor Obama at work

As he waited in the wings at the United Nations, President Obama was struck with this sledgehammer from Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff:

Tampering... in the affairs of other countries is a breach of international law and is an affront of the principles that must guide the relations among them, especially among friendly nations. A sovereign nation can never establish itself to the detriment of another sovereign nation. The right to safety of citizens of one country can never be guaranteed by violating fundamental human rights of citizens of another country.

This impassioned defense of national sovereignty and fundamental human rights (self-serving as it might have been) was followed by a speech from Mr. Obama that was almost a parody of how other countries see the United States -- self-referential, militaristic, whiny, petulant, and riddled with faux humility and underlying threats. Read more ..

Broken Government

If You Liked Sequestration 'One', You'll Love 'Two'

September 29th 2013


Sequestration was proposed from the beginning to be a hostage in larger and more complex political fights. Two years after the Budget Control Act was signed into law, sequestration remains a favored pawn in negotiations. This dynamic is one of the fundamental reasons that despite the fact that so many members of Congress dislike sequestration, it remains in effect.

In Washington, upcoming debates about government funding and the debt ceiling increasingly feel like Groundhog Day. Yet time has not altered or softened either side’s position on the size, scope or role of government. Unfortunately, this means the Defense Department seems on track for yet another “fiscal cliff”-like redux, which -- if so -- will result in sequestration sticking for a second year in a row. Read more ..

Iran on Edge

The Rouhani Tsunami: A Presidential Phone Call Offers Another Iranian Surprise

September 28th 2013


Capping a week full of headlines, controversy, spectacle and schmoozing, Iran's new president Hassan Rouhani made history on Friday by concluding his inaugural visit to the United States with an unprecedented telephone conversation with U.S. President Barack Obama. In a perfect diplomatic minuet, the call was invited by Iranian officials and initiated by the White House. The conversation ended nearly 35 years of silence between the two leaderships and inspired hopes, as expressed by President Obama, that "we can reach a comprehensive solution" to the Iranian nuclear crisis and potentially even more — the start of a new relationship between America and Iran.

The phone call followed another historic first, a meeting between Iran's foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, and U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry. The news sparked giddiness among many Iranians on social media, where an account linked to Rouhani announced the call and recounted the details only moments before Obama spoke before a hastily-organized press conference in Washington, D.C. to do the same. However, upon his arrival at Tehran's Mehrbad airport, Iran's president was greeted with a more dissonant tone, as his effusive supporters were joined by a small group of hardliners hurling shoes and eggs in protest. It was a small but stark reminder of the obstacles the Iranian regime will have to navigate if it is to amend even slightly one of the defining elements of its raison d’être, antagonism toward America. Read more ..

The Battle for Syria

Syrian Rebels: Demand Radical Islamism; U. S.: We Can’t Hear You!

September 27th 2013

Syrian Rebels

Can it be more obvious? Thirteen Syrian rebel groups–including the most important in Aleppo and Damascus–demand an Islamist state in Syria and say they don’t care what the official rebel, U.S.-backed politicians say.

By the way, only one of these groups is an al-Qaida group, Jabhat al-Nusra. There is also the large Salafi Islamist group, Harakat Ahrar al-Sham al-Islamiya. The others include the powerful Liwa al-Tawhid (Aleppo) and Liwa al-Islam. Both groups operated as part of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) umbrella.

What about the U.S-backed Free Syrian Army? As the GLORIA Center’s Syria expert Dr. Jonathan Spyer put it: “This is much of the Free Syrian Army.”

The Syrian rebel statement, distancing these militias from the FSA’s leadership said, “These forces call on all military and civilian groups to unite in a clear Islamic context that… is based on sharia (Islamic) law, making it the sole source of legislation”. “The [Syrian] National Coalition and the proposed government under Ahmad Tomeh [the Obama Administration- supported “moderate” Muslim Brotherhood puppet who wields little power] does not represent us, nor do we recognize it,” said 13 of Syria’s most powerful Islamist rebel groups. Read more ..

Broken Government

Cruz Ruse

September 26th 2013

Ted Cruz

If only Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) had been correct last March when he criticized House Republicans for their “meaningless show votes” to repeal ObamaCare, insisting that Congress could defund it with the votes of Republican lawmakers in the House and Senate alone. “We don’t need a single Democrat vote,” the freshman senator said, knowing it wasn’t true.

If only his Don’t Fund Obamacare website was telling the truth with its declaration that “Republicans in Congress can stop Obamacare if they refuse to fund it.” If only his marathon Senate floor speech this week was actually a filibuster that could stop a vote, instead of a show Cruz sought permission for from the Senate Democratic leader. Not only would it have been less inauthentic and goofy, but then his website would have actually been correct with its headline urging visitors to “Watch the Obamacare filibuster live.”

How many of the 1.7 million petition signers on the website, many of whom have clicked on the green bar that reads “donate,” actually believe the Affordable Care Act is about to be stopped with their support? If only all those supporters could be rewarded with results — or at least the truth — instead of being had.

But as Cruz succeeded in snookering the grass roots, he built his brand, his email list and his donor list. Along the way, he also deliberately threw House Republicans under the bus. He and the outside groups that are supporting his Cruz-ade to shut down the government if any spending bill funds the new healthcare law barraged House Republicans with letters, emails and phone calls, urging them to do something they couldn’t do. Nowhere in his speeches at town halls this summer, or on his website, has he informed the public that it would take supermajorities of two-thirds of the House and Senate to override a veto the president would surely sign after any attempt to defund his signature legislative accomplishment. Read more ..

Broken Goverment

DC Ignores Jobs and The Economy

September 25th 2013

Employee applications

There are two interrelated myths of politics today that drive me crazy. The first is that Republicans spend all their time catering to Wall Street and the financiers of the economy. The other fairy tale is that politicians in both parties are guided by poll results.

Neither of these legends is true, and recent weeks have shown this to be the case more than ever before. Wall Street wants Republicans to do something — anything — to get this economy going.

Polls are consistently showing that “job creation and the economy” top every list of the most important issues or problems facing the states and the nation as a whole. Yet Republicans are dogging other rabbits. We need to get back to chasing the issue that has been our nation’s top priority for several years running: jobs. Read more ..

The World on Edge

The Myth of a United Nations

September 24th 2013


The U.N. General Assembly’s 68th session will open its annual “general debate” in New York on Tuesday, with leadoff speakers including President Obama and Iranian President Hasan Rouhani. There is every prospect that Mr. Obama and Mr. Rouhani will exchange the handshake Mr. Obama has longed for ever since his 2009 inaugural address.

For some, that handshake alone justifies the U.N.’s existence, as though the financial costs the United States bear (assessed contributions of 22 percent of most U.N. agency budgets), relentless political attacks against us and close friends such as Israel, assaults on free expression under the guise of religious tolerance, endless treaty negotiations where the hidden agenda is constraining America’s flexibility and influence, and countless other intrusions on issues properly decided by our own constitutional system were of little consequence. Read more ..

Islam on Edge

Wave of Islamic Mass Murder Strikes Across the World

September 23rd 2013

Pakistan religious minorities

While Islamist terror groups attacked targets in Kenya, Yemen and Iraq over the weekend, the Pakistani Taliban claimed responsibility for two suicide bombers killing upwards of 75 Pakistani Christians as they left church services on Sunday. "The double-suicide bombing outside a Catholic church [in Peshawar, Pakistan] has killed about 75 Pakistanis. It's considered one of the worst attacks on Christians in that predominately Islamic nation," said Hettinger, a former member of the police intelligence unit.

The two bombers detonated their explosive-laden vests as churchgoers exited All Saints Church on Sunday morning following a Catholic Mass, police reported. As if police weren't busy enough dealing with the casualties and the crime scene investigation, they also had to contend with a protest by relatives and friends of the victims who complained about their government's inability to protect them from radical Muslims such as the Taliban and al-Qaeda.


Broken Government

No Surrenders

September 22nd 2013

Ted Cruz

Earlier this week, there were reports and commentary to the effect that the House Republican leadership had surrendered and fallen in with those conservatives who think that the continuing resolution to fund the government can be used to stop funding for Obamacare. Then there were claims that Senator Cruz had given up on fighting Obamacare in the Senate. Both of these perceptions were false, and they’re related.

Speaker John Boehner and Majority Leader Eric Cantor are just as convinced as ever that a partial government shutdown would not advance any conservative goal, and just as determined to avoid one. They have merely made a tactical retreat in that effort. They want to pass a continuing resolution that denies funding to Obamacare, thus demonstrating that it’s the outcome House Republicans favor. If, as expected, the Senate defeats it, they then want to pass another continuing resolution that leaves Obamacare alone: Shutdown avoided. Boehner and Cantor would like to see Obamacare defunded, but they are not willing to let the government shut down over it–and even as they announced that they would go ahead with a vote on the resolution that Senator Cruz et al are promoting, they said nothing to the contrary.

Senator Cruz understood what Boehner and Cantor intended even if some reporters did not. (Standard disclaimer.) That’s the context for his much-criticized statement that if the Senate passes funds for Obamacare, it will be up to the House to hold firm. That didn’t mean that he was going to “wave the white flag of surrender,” as Rep. Sean Duffy (R., Wisc.) put it. (Anonymous aides to House leaders were quoted making similar points in nastier terms.) Read more ..

The Battle for Syria

Iran and Syria: Peace in Our Time

September 21st 2013

Hassan Rowhani

Rumor has it that big things are going to happen between the United States and Iran next week at the United Nations General Assembly. Count me among the really excited for what promises to be a new world of openness and communication between the freshly minted Rouhani government and the slightly less fresh Obama administration. Because, after all, what could go wrong?

But I have a little confession: Something is gnawing away on the periphery of my diplomatic euphoria. I’m a little worried about the Syria precedent. What’s that, you ask? Isn’t that last week’s problem? So…I dunno…August? It’s true, we have a deal with the Russians. The Syrians are going to cough up a comprehensive list of their chemical weapons this week soonish. It’s true, Assad signed the Chemical Weapons Convention. And he is a man who, once an international obligation is made, really sticks to it. I mean, look at how strictly Syria has adhered to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. (What were the Israelis doing there in 2007 anyway?) Read more ..

Broken Government

We Have the Tools to Prevent Another Shooting Spree

September 20th 2013

Sandy Hook Shooting

As a psychiatrist, I have frequently seen psychotic patients brought into the emergency room by police, only to be released into the night because of a toxic combination of restrictive commitment laws and a desperate shortage of psychiatric beds. For the most part, such sad stories affect only the patients themselves and their families. On a few horrific occasions, they are a missed opportunity to prevent a larger, bloodier tragedy.

We will never know his precise motivations, yet it is becoming increasingly clear how Aaron Alexis, who police say shot and killed 12 people at the Navy Yard in Washington this week, fell through some cracks in our mental health system.

On Aug. 7, police in Newport, Rhode Island, responded to a call from Alexis, who was staying at a Marriott hotel. According to the police, Alexis said he had an argument at the airport with a stranger who had sent three people to follow him and who were keeping him awake by talking to him through the walls and by sending vibrations to his body from a microwave machine. He said he had already switched hotels twice to escape them. Read more ..

Europe on Edge

The German Elections and the Euro Crisis

September 19th 2013

Spanish protesters

The German federal elections on September 22nd will have importance well beyond Germany’s borders, particularly in Europe. However, the effects on the rest of Europe are likely to be subtle rather than constituting a decisive turning point. There is also considerable uncertainty about the outcome and its immediate consequences.

What we know
Merkel will remain in charge.
To be fair, this is not an absolute certainty but rather a very high probability. Polls clearly show that her parliamentary faction will be the single largest, with over a third of the seats. That lead, combined with the increasing fragmentation of the party structure in Germany, makes it difficult at this point to envision a viable coalition without her faction, although it is not impossible. Her status as the current Chancellor, her personal popularity, and control of the largest parliamentary faction effectively would guarantee her the Chancellorship yet again in any such coalition. This would give her a great deal of control over government policy, even if she is forced to share power with the Social Democrats rather than her much weaker current partner, the Free Democrats. Read more ..

The Edge of Terrorism

Pew Poll Says 62% of Palestinians Say Suicide Bombing Is Justified

September 18th 2013

Hamas Kid

A new Pew Research Survey has shown that a large majority –– 62% –– of Palestinians justify the use of suicide terrorism. In the words of the Pew Survey, “in some countries, substantial minorities of Muslims say attacks on civilians are at least sometimes justified to defend Islam from its enemies; in the Palestinian territories, a majority of Muslims hold this view.” Among Palestinians, 37% said suicide bombing was often justified and 25% said it was sometimes justified. Only 16% of Palestinians said that suicide bombing is never justified (‘Muslim Publics Share Concerns about Extremist Groups,’ Pew Research Survey, September 10, 2013).

This chilling finding replicates results in numerous other surveys in recent years showing strong Palestinian support for terrorist attacks against Israeli civilians:

October 2010: A Palestinian Survey (PSR) Research Unit poll (no. 37) found that 49% of Palestinians support suicide bombing attacks upon Israelis, while a virtually equal number (49.2%) oppose such attacks. 14% of Palestinians strongly favored such acts of terrorism, while 6% of Palestinians strongly opposed them (PSR Research Unit, ‘Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No (37),’ October 24, 2010). Read more ..

Broken Healthcare

Health Insurance Coverage Rises in 2012, Driven by Increase in Medicare Enrollment

September 17th 2013

Medicare Protest2

The Census Bureau published new estimates of health insurance coverage showing improvements in coverage in 2012 compared with 2011. The percentage of Americans without health insurance declined 0.3 percentage points in 2012, falling from 15.7 percent to 15.4 percent. Most of the improvement was concentrated in the population under 35, especially among children. This is the second successive year of improvement in insurance coverage. In 2011 noncoverage fell 0.6 percentage points, declining from 16.3 percent to 15.7 percent. Noncoverage rates spiked in the Great Recession, increasing 1.6 percentage points between 2007 and 2010.

Following a pattern we have seen since the end of the economic expansion of the late 1990s, improvements in coverage were mainly traceable to government programs or government mandates. In 2012 government health insurance coverage rose 0.4 percentage points while employment-based coverage fell 0.2 percentage points. Since 2000 employer sponsored health insurance plans have provided coverage for a steadily declining percentage of the population. In 2000, 65.1 percent of Americans obtained coverage under an employer-sponsored plan; in 2012 only 54.9 percent of Americans were covered by employer plans. Read more ..

America and Iran

America and Iran: Backchanneling In Plain Sight

September 16th 2013

Hassan Rowhani

President Barack Obama confirmed in an interview broadcast today that he has exchanged letters with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, in what may be the first successfully reciprocated communication between leaders of the two countries. The confirmation vaults what had been a quietly evolving process of bilateral diplomacy between the two long-time adversaries into the public eye at a particularly sensitive moment — immediately on the heels of a U.S.-Russian deal to avert military action in Syria and right on the eve of Rouhani's departure for his first-ever visit to the United States.

In my recently-released Brookings Essay on Iran, I make the case that Rouhani was elected in order to staunch Iran's economic troubles by reorienting its approach to the world. This latest development only strengthens my conviction that what we are witnessing is a historic shift by Iran — one that is nowhere near complete and that may still go up in smoke, but one that if carried to fruition could result in a reduction in the threats posed by the Islamic Republic to its neighbors and to its own citizens. Read more ..

The Battle for Syria

Meet the Next Peace Laureate

September 15th 2013


On September 12, two days before the announcement on the agreement between U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on a plan to destroy Syria's chemical weapons--an agreement that has yet to be approved by Bashar Assad--Pravda reported that Vladimir Putin was nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize by Sergei Komkov, President of the Russian Foundation for Education, who must have known already that the agreement was in Putin's pocket. 

Komkov's letter to the Nobel Committee praises Putin's contribution to the peaceful settlement of the conflict in Syria, arguing that Putin showed his commitment to peace in practice: "Being the leader of one of the leading countries of the world, he makes every effort to maintain peace and tranquility in his own state and actively contributes to the peaceful resolution of all conflicts arising on the planet." This gave the recommendation the special oomph to justify the nomination of this human rights abuser, who has been busy oppressing his own people and giving aid and succor to criminals like Bashar Assad and the Iranian Mullahs.

According to the agreement reached in Geneva on Saturday, Syria has one week to provide a complete list of its chemical assets and their locations. "The first international inspection of Syria's chemical weapons stockpile" will take place in November, and the destruction or removal of the weapons should be completed by the middle of 2014. The speed at which 1,000 tons of "sulfur, mustard gas and the ingredients for sarin and the nerve agent VX" is unprecedented.

An expert on chemical weapons at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies commented: "This situation has no precedent. They are cramming what would probably be five or six years' worth of work into a period of several months, and they are undertaking this in an extremely difficult security environment due to the ongoing civil war." Read more ..

The Edge of Terrorism

FBI Files Reveal al-Qaeda Leader Invited to Visit Pentagon

September 15th 2013

Arab terrorist

The American Islamist who helped to radicalize convicted multi-murderer Maj. Nidal Hasan, a U.S. Army psychiatrist, was a guest at the Pentagon even while FBI agents followed his movements before he left the United States, according to more than 250 pages of FBI surveillance reports obtain and released on Friday by a public-interest watchdog in Washington, D.C.

According to officials with Judicial Watch as well as a news story aired on Fox News Channel on Friday, the files reveal the incompetence of the U.S. national security establishment, including the counterterrorism maven Richard Clark, when it came to intelligence-gathering regarding American jihadist Anwar al-Awlaqi.


Broken Government

Congress Must Be Prepared for the Worst to Protect Americans

September 14th 2013

US Capital Day

I write this on the bright and sunny morning of Sept. 11. Exactly 12 years ago, I was on my way to Dulles Airport. As I drove on the access road, convertible top down, I marveled at the beauty of the day. When I parked and went inside to get my boarding pass, the counter was abuzz with the news that, apparently, a small plane had wandered off course and hit the World Trade Center. I took the van across to the United terminal, and watched the news coverage for a bit while I waited to board my plane—and saw the news that a second plane had hit the towers.

On the jet bridge, we were stopped and turned back—air traffic had been frozen as it became clear that this was not some errant pilot but something bigger. I retrieved my car and drove home, and turned on the television and watched, transfixed and horrified.

By late afternoon, the news was that United Flight 93 had crashed in Pennsylvania and that brave passengers had thwarted hijackers from their terrorist mission. What made UA 93 different from the other flights that hit the Pentagon and the Twin Towers? It had left Newark, N.J., 45 minutes late, giving its passengers an opportunity to communicate with the outside world and learn that they were a part of a suicidal terrorist plot, not a standard hijacking. Read more ..

The Media on Edge

Laughable Time Magazine Report Shows Correspondent is Clueless

September 13th 2013


The latest dispatch from TIME magazine’s Jerusalem bureau chief Karl Vick would just be laughable if it wasn’t so downright ridiculous.

In a piece entitled “Cheer Up, Obama. Israel Is Happy With Your Syria Plan,” Vick purports to gauge “the verdict from Israel” on the outcome of President Obama’s diplomatic oscillation this week over what to do about the alleged recent use of chemical weapons by the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

After earlier bringing the U.S. to the brink of a strike against Syria, Obama ended up agreeing in principle to a Russian proposal to allow Assad to give up his WMD arsenal to international control. According to Vick, Israel then fell in love with President Obama. He is now “being hailed as a model of principled resolve, a Churchillian figure,” he claims. Read more ..

Broken Economy

Five Years After Lehman, We're Much Safer

September 13th 2013

Economic Collapse

It is almost five years since the worst phase of the financial crisis began with the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the ensuing market panic. We are much safer now, and will be safer still going forward, but this is not the message that the public hears.

It is fashionable and easy to claim that the fundamental risks remain and that the efforts of regulators and politicians are simply rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic, or perhaps even counter-productive. This ignores how markets and regulation really work and the major improvements that have been made through the Dodd-Frank Act, the Basel III global agreement on capital and liquidity, and safety improvements forced by market participants acting in their own interest.

The most important single improvement is probably the dramatic increase in bank capital. In particular, regulators are now demanding that a bank's common shareholders fund about a tenth of a big bank's assets, adjusted for their riskiness, whereas the earlier rules required only 2 percent be funded by common shareholders. Read more ..

Broken Education

The DOJ Attempt to Block School Vouchers in Louisiana Undermines Civil Rights

September 12th 2013

Education - Child at Blackboard

The U.S. Department of Justice has entered into a lawsuit opposing Louisiana’s voucher system.    The state’s program, passed into law in 2012, offers a voucher to attend a private school to students from families with incomes below 250 percent of the poverty line attending low performing public schools.  Parents apply for the vouchers and to date about 90 percent of the recipients are black.

The DOJ is not intervening as you might naively expect because of concerns about the constitutionality of voucher programs, or because they believe that private schools in Louisiana discriminate, or because they think the state has designed its voucher program in a way that discriminates against minorities.  No.  Their argument is that the voucher program will have an impact on federal desegregation orders that require certain school districts to achieve a racial distribution in each of their schools that mirrors the racial composition of the district as a whole.  So, if 40 percent of the school-aged population in these districts is black then each school has a target of 40 percent black enrollment. Read more ..

The Way We Were

Same-Sex Marriage

September 12th 2013


I have been asked over and over again what I think of same-sex marriage. I can offer no easy answer because same sex marriage is a very complex issue for people of faith. When I look to the Bible, Genesis tells me that God created man and woman and that together they will become husband and wife.  Leviticus commands that it is an abomination for a man to lie with another man as if with a woman. But is also in Jesus’ teachings to love thy neighbor and render unto Caesar what is Caesar’s. 
Christians believe that the New Testament has surpassed the Old, giving us a new covenant. Consequently, obscure tenants of the ancient Judaic faith--such as growing out the forelocks, eating Kosher, and wearing clothes with blended fabrics- have been discarded. However, many believe that some of the Mosaic Laws are still applicable. The declaration of marriage being between a man and woman is one of them.
I understand same-sex marriage is a civil rights issue, which are  rights belonging to an individual by virtue of citizenship, especially the fundamental freedoms and privileges guaranteed by the 13th and 14th Amendments to the U.S. Constitution and by subsequent acts of Congress. These include civil liberties, due process, equal protection of the laws, and freedom from discrimination. However, it is a moral issue for the church. The church operates under certain behavior based on a code of conduct.  There are plenty of individuals within the church who are engaged in same-sex relationships.  Read more ..

Obama's Second Term

While We Wait

September 11th 2013

Barack Obama with Flag

A flurry of diplomatic activity has overtaken the Senate debate on the use of force by the United States against Syria as punishment for/deterrence against the use of chemical weapons. The world awaits the next meeting, the next announcement, the next slip-of-the-tongue, or the first bomb.

The interregnum is a good time to note that the president has been blaming the Iraq war for American reticence on war in Syria. "I'm not sure that we're ever going to get a majority of the American people -- after over a decade of war, after what happened in Iraq," he told PBS. What, exactly does the president think, "happened in Iraq" and why does he think the war was only "a decade" long?

The Iraq War began in 1990 with the invasion of Kuwait and as a direct outgrowth of the eight-year Iran-Iraq War, in which the U.S. supported Saddam Hussein. President George H.W. Bush said of the occupation of Kuwait, "This aggression will not stand," and indeed it did not. But when Kuwait was liberated, the U.S.-led coalition made a decision not to invade Iraq and not to depose Saddam, but according to Gen. Colin Powell's memoirs, "our practical intention to leave Baghdad enough power to survive as a threat to an Iran that remained bitterly hostile toward the United States." A ceasefire, then, and political accommodation with a properly chastened Saddam. UN Security Council Resolution 687 was duly approved on 3 April 1991, including the following clauses:

7. Invites Iraq to reaffirm unconditionally its obligations under the Geneva Protocol for the Prohibition of the Use in War of Asphyxiating, Poisonous or Other Gases, and of Bacteriological Methods of Warfare, signed at Geneva on 17 June 1925, and to ratify the Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production and Stockpiling of Bacteriological (Biological) and Toxin Weapons and on Their Destruction, of 10 April 1972; Read more ..

The Battle for Syria

Are Non al-Qaeda Syrian Rebels "Moderate"

September 10th 2013

Syrian Jihadis

For elected representatives and the public to have the necessary discussion regarding action in Syria, it is crucial that a clear picture of the realities on the ground in Syria be presented.

Regarding the Assad regime and its apologists, nothing needs to be cleared up. This is a regime characterized by murderous brutality since it first emerged in the 1960s. It has been perhaps the single most destabilizing factor in the Levant throughout the years of its existence. An apparent use of nerve gas against its own civilians fits entirely with the more general pattern of its behavior.

But as the U.S. grapples with the issue of what, if anything, is to be done, it is clear that a rival campaign of deception is underway: an attempt to present the Syrian armed rebels as consisting in the main of “moderate” and pro-democratic forces. If only that were so: in reality, the spectrum of orientation among the observable Syrian rebel units spans from a Muslim Brotherhood-type outlook to open identification with al-Qaeda. Read more ..

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